?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Falconswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 5 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
XinQ · 5 games
40%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 5 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
XinQ · 4 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 4 games
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
XinQ · 4 games
50%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
Xm · 4 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 4 games
75%

Team Falcons

Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 21 game
86%
Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
76%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 17 games
88%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 16 games
56%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 15 games
73%
Puck
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 14 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
373 picks · 570 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
335 picks · 289 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
333 picks · 280 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 466 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
295 picks · 415 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
291 picks · 474 bans
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
287 picks · 460 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
284 picks · 788 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 71%
Hero pool strength58% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:32
Xtreme Gaming 49%Team Falcons 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 50:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Zeus
ZeusXm
41% · 82 games59% · 109 games
Naga SirenSkiter
Naga Siren
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
47% · 312 games46% · 172 games
TimbersawATF
Timbersaw
Slark
SlarkAme
54% · 153 games52% · 260 games
PangolierMalr1ne
Pangolier
Pugna
PugnaDy
57% · 202 games44% · 103 games
Crystal MaidenSneyking
Crystal Maiden
Bane
BaneXinQ
53% · 53 games47% · 158 games
TinyCr1t-
Tiny
Game 2prediction missed17:31
Xtreme Gaming 51%Team Falcons 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 56:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautAme
49% · 86 games54% · 129 games
Naga SirenSkiter
Naga Siren
Magnus
MagnusXxs
55% · 207 games45% · 138 games
MarsATF
Mars
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
56% · 279 games49% · 164 games
Primal BeastMalr1ne
Primal Beast
Marci
MarciXinQ
43% · 111 games48% · 188 games
MiranaSneyking
Mirana
Techies
TechiesDy
52% · 369 games49% · 433 games
RubickCr1t-
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 51%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2