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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Falconswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 31 game
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 28 games
61%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 25 games
44%
Tiny
Tiny
NothingToSay · 24 games
46%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 20 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 20 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ame · 18 games
56%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Ame · 18 games
39%

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 32 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Cr1t- · 25 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 24 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 23 games
61%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Cr1t- · 23 games
61%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
ATF · 23 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
622 picks · 441 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
547 picks · 311 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
414 picks · 392 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
404 picks · 578 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
376 picks · 411 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
346 picks · 637 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 501 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
336 picks · 234 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total80% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:34
Xtreme Gaming 31%Team Falcons 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 59:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaAme
46% · 96 games52% · 65 games
NecrophosATF
Necrophos
Snapfire
SnapfireNothingToSay
48% · 290 games49% · 352 games
WindrangerSkiter
Windranger
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
51% · 309 games54% · 461 game
Ember SpiritMalr1ne
Ember Spirit
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkfy
50% · 509 games50% · 347 games
RingmasterSneyking
Ringmaster
Phoenix
PhoenixxNova
48% · 305 games52% · 284 games
ClockwerkCr1t-
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct21:38
Xtreme Gaming 30%Team Falcons 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 42:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAme
48% · 176 games57% · 249 games
DoomATF
Doom
Axe
AxeXxs
45% · 262 games50% · 244 games
WindrangerSkiter
Windranger
Snapfire
SnapfireNothingToSay
49% · 328 games51% · 354 games
Ember SpiritMalr1ne
Ember Spirit
Rubick
Rubickfy
47% · 293 games48% · 284 games
ClockwerkCr1t-
Clockwerk
Bane
BanexNova
54% · 242 games50% · 170 games
UndyingSneyking
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 80%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2