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BLAST Slam VI. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlocksignature
xNova · 22 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 16 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 15 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 14 games
64%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
fy · 14 games
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 13 games
62%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 13 games
69%

Tearlaments

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 16 games
63%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 15 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 14 games
43%
Sand King
Sand King
Echo · 13 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 11 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
7e · 10 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
zzq · 8 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
poyoyo · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
567 picks · 642 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
505 picks · 333 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
495 picks · 683 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
469 picks · 177 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 526 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
437 picks · 209 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 531 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
370 picks · 501 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 39%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total86% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:15
Xtreme Gaming 86%Tearlaments 14%
The model gave 86% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 36:34.
Game 2prediction correct22:11
Xtreme Gaming 86%Tearlaments 14%
The model gave 86% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 32:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 86%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2