BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO3
result vs predictionXXxXxXXxwin 2:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
XxXxXXx
Iooften banned
MoOz · 4 games
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 4 games
Silenceroften banned
MoOz · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
Leostyle · 2 games
Magnusoften banned
Frank · 2 games
Snapfire
MoOz · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 2 games
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
260 picks · 318 bans
Tidehunter
256 picks · 384 bans
Monkey King
242 picks · 531 bans
Lion
229 picks · 120 bans
Lina
226 picks · 469 bans
Void Spirit
223 picks · 244 bans
Pangolier
221 picks · 288 bans
Tiny
210 picks · 280 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 31%
Hero pool strength51% XxXxXXx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% XxXxXXx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteXxXxXXx · 59%
Series resultXxXxXXx 2:1
Series predictioncorrect