ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 30 games
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 28 games
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 25 games
Puckoften banned
Emo · 25 games
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 23 games
Leshrac
Moon · 21 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 19 games
Marsoften banned
zeal · 17 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Jakirooften banned
Kataomi · 44 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 33 games
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 23 games
Warlock
Kataomi · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
678 picks · 836 bans
Tiny
585 picks · 606 bans
Tusk
482 picks · 419 bans
Warlock
481 picks · 328 bans
Shadow Demon
419 picks · 1096 bans
Ember Spirit
398 picks · 697 bans
Shadow Fiend
398 picks · 1014 bans
Mars
389 picks · 627 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total88% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:33
Yakult Brothers 28%BETBOOM TEAM 72%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 50:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerGhost
UrsaKiritych
UnderlordYang
TimbersawMieRo
PuckMoon
SlardargpK~
Dark WillowBoBoKa
JakiroKataomi
Warlock天命
LionSave-
Game 2prediction correct21:39
Yakult Brothers 25%BETBOOM TEAM 75%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarciGhost
BeastmasterMieRo
SniperMoon
KezKiritych
BatriderYang
PuckgpK~
Shadow Shaman天命
HoodwinkSave-
TinyBoBoKa
OracleKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 88%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2