DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cloud Dawningwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 28 games
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 20 games
Puckoften banned
Moon · 19 games
Leshrac
Moon · 18 games
Tiny
BoBoKa · 17 games
Weaversignature
flyfly · 17 games
Disruptor
天命 · 15 games
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
631 picks · 695 bans
Tiny
511 picks · 449 bans
Tusk
482 picks · 387 bans
Warlock
431 picks · 288 bans
Phoenix
405 picks · 345 bans
Shadow Demon
387 picks · 1068 bans
Puck
380 picks · 799 bans
Mars
376 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 57%
Hero pool strength56% Cloud Dawning
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:22
Yakult Brothers 89%Cloud Dawning 11%
The model gave 89% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Cloud Dawning in 32:38.
Game 2prediction missed24:27
Yakult Brothers 89%Cloud Dawning 11%
The model gave 89% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Cloud Dawning in 42:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 89%
Series resultCloud Dawning 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2