BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 9 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 7 games
Mirana
BoBoKa · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
BoBoKa · 6 games
Clockwerk
Poloson · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
flyfly · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
flyfly · 5 games
Team Liquid
Doomsignature
33 · 23 games
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 22 games
Tinysignature
Nisha · 22 games
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 19 games
Rubick
Boxi · 18 games
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 18 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 17 games
Enchantresssignature
iNSaNiA · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
338 picks · 451 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 237 bans
Clockwerk
314 picks · 267 bans
Tusk
306 picks · 415 bans
Enchantress
302 picks · 547 bans
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 461 bans
Windranger
270 picks · 389 bans
Jakiro
261 picks · 225 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 69%
Hero pool strength54% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:44
Yakult Brothers 40%Team Liquid 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 33:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Svenflyfly
RazormiCKe
PuckEmo
TinyNisha
Beastmasterzeal
Primal BeastSabeRLight-
EnchantressPoloson
HoodwinkBoxi
BatriderBoBoKa
ClockwerkiNSaNiA
Game 2prediction missed36:13
Yakult Brothers 45%Team Liquid 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 49:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemistflyfly
Nature's ProphetmiCKe
InvokerEmo
Void SpiritNisha
Dawnbreakerzeal
SnapfireBoxi
MuertaBoBoKa
Bounty HunterSabeRLight-
PhoenixPoloson
EnchantressiNSaNiA
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 64%
Accuracy by game1 of 2