?
arrow_backBack to match
Asian Champions League 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Tideboundwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
天命 · 24 games
54%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
天命 · 19 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 18 games
61%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 18 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 17 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 16 games
56%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
63%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 15 games
40%

Team Tidebound

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
shiro · 30 games
77%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
y` · 29 games
69%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
shiro · 20 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NothingToSay · 16 games
38%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
shiro · 15 games
60%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Faith_bian · 14 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 14 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
476 picks · 470 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 566 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
338 picks · 158 bans
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
283 picks · 529 bans
47%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
280 picks · 576 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
270 picks · 574 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
267 picks · 502 bans
58%
Muerta
Muerta
265 picks · 150 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 51%
Hero pool strength54% Team Tidebound
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total77% Team Tidebound
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:28
Yakult Brothers 36%Team Tidebound 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Tidebound — the game was taken by Team Tidebound in 39:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeflyfly
46% · 173 games52% · 179 games
Nature's Prophetshiro
Nature's Prophet
Night Stalker
Night StalkerBEYOND
48% · 77 games51% · 298 games
Storm SpiritNothingToSay
Storm Spirit
Monkey King
Monkey KingEmo
51% · 194 games49% · 117 games
MedusaFaith_bian
Medusa
Enchantress
EnchantressBoBoKa
43% · 115 games59% · 103 games
Keeper of the LightpLAnet
Keeper of the Light
Jakiro
JakiroOli
49% · 268 games51% · 130 games
Silencery`
Silencer
Game 2prediction correct11:34
Yakult Brothers 35%Team Tidebound 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Tidebound — the game was taken by Team Tidebound in 28:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinflyfly
48% · 158 games50% · 333 games
Gyrocoptershiro
Gyrocopter
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightEmo
52% · 385 games52% · 322 games
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
Ember Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerBEYOND
49% · 243 games49% · 322 games
Sand KingFaith_bian
Sand King
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinBoBoKa
61% · 161 game47% · 265 games
WindrangerpLAnet
Windranger
Jakiro
JakiroOli
47% · 365 games46% · 70 games
Disruptory`
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tidebound · 77%
Series resultTeam Tidebound 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2