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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 31 game
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 20 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 19 games
74%
Bane
Bane
Oli · 15 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 15 games
47%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 15 games
33%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Poloson · 14 games
29%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Magesignature
flyfly · 13 games
69%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 16 games
81%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 12 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 11 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 10 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
7e · 10 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
zzq · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
776 picks · 354 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
582 picks · 593 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
563 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
468 picks · 541 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
466 picks · 284 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
465 picks · 273 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
452 picks · 738 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
434 picks · 1121 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% Tearlaments
Head-to-head6 – 1
Model total60% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:17
Yakult Brothers 52%Tearlaments 48%
The model gave 52% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 31:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingflyfly
50% · 196 games54% · 337 games
Bristlebackpoyoyo
Bristleback
Puck
PuckEmo
51% · 366 games54% · 260 games
Nature's Prophet7e
Nature's Prophet
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerzeal
52% · 285 games44% · 163 games
Primal BeastSrf
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenBoBoKa
58% · 184 games42% · 215 games
Shadow DemonTK
Shadow Demon
Clockwerk
Clockwerk天命
48% · 213 games46% · 269 games
Disruptorzzq
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 60%
Series resultYakult Brothers 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1