DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TToLightloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 21 game
Silenceroften banned
Oli · 17 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
flyfly · 15 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
flyfly · 13 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
flyfly · 12 games
Dark Seeroften banned
BEYOND · 11 games
Shadow Shaman
BoBoKa · 11 games
Void Spirit
Emo · 11 games
ToLight
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
292 picks · 710 bans
Shadow Shaman
276 picks · 178 bans
Disruptor
260 picks · 242 bans
Dawnbreaker
256 picks · 664 bans
Tusk
249 picks · 250 bans
Pugna
247 picks · 261 bans
Marci
246 picks · 638 bans
Dark Willow
244 picks · 103 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% ToLight
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yakult Brothers 91%ToLight 9%
The model gave 91% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Game 2prediction correct
Yakult Brothers 91%ToLight 9%
The model gave 91% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 91%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2