BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Army Geniuses
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 14 games
Mirana
Lym- · 11 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 10 games
Axeoften banned
db- · 7 games
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
372 picks · 178 bans
Hoodwink
340 picks · 122 bans
Lina
271 picks · 487 bans
Luna
252 picks · 342 bans
Nyx Assassin
250 picks · 529 bans
Mars
249 picks · 418 bans
Pangolier
243 picks · 316 bans
Terrorblade
235 picks · 488 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 27%
Hero pool strength50% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total58% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:35
Yangon Galacticos 55%Army Geniuses 45%
The model gave 55% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 30:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeKsh
Tinydb-
Void SpiritYoung PH
Storm SpiritMamangDaya
61% · 23 games
Legion CommanderwoMy
44% · 103 games
Earth SpiritLym-
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 58%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1