Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Baby Build Houseloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Baby Build House
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
500 picks · 439 bans
Mars
480 picks · 698 bans
Bane
451 picks · 296 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 535 bans
Storm Spirit
382 picks · 610 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 609 bans
Sand King
366 picks · 527 bans
Keeper of the Light
345 picks · 767 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 25%
Hero pool strength54% Baby Build House
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:14
Yangon Galacticos 58%Baby Build House 42%
The model gave 58% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 22:21.
Game 2prediction correct29:27
Yangon Galacticos 58%Baby Build House 42%
The model gave 58% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 38:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 58%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2