BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dream Makerloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Slarkoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Svenoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Dream Maker
Beastmasteroften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
Lich
TrazaM · 1 game
Lion
czy · 1 game
Marsoften banned
TrazaM · 1 game
Mirana
czy · 1 game
Omniknightoften banned
TrazaM · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
378 picks · 170 bans
Hoodwink
348 picks · 125 bans
Lina
264 picks · 441 bans
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 525 bans
Dragon Knight
252 picks · 338 bans
Luna
251 picks · 347 bans
Winter Wyvern
247 picks · 248 bans
Mars
239 picks · 402 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:29
Yangon Galacticos 53%Dream Maker 47%
The model gave 53% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 46:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerKsh
TidehunterNevermine
Queen of PainYoung PH
Vengeful Spiritczy
59% · 53 games
TuskTrazaM
Game 2prediction correct33:11
Yangon Galacticos 52%Dream Maker 48%
The model gave 52% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 27:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageKsh
SlardarNevermine
Ember SpiritYoung PH
Sand KingTrazaM
57% · 3 games
Vengeful Spiritczy
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 60%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2