The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Earth Spirit
Young PH · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Lina
Young PH · 2 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Kopite
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
479 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
469 picks · 535 bans
Ringmaster
441 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
344 picks · 642 bans
Storm Spirit
306 picks · 447 bans
Ancient Apparition
295 picks · 661 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 221 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Kopite
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Yangon Galacticos 71%Kopite 29%
The model gave 71% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Kopite.
Game 2prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 71%Kopite 29%
The model gave 71% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Game 3prediction missed
Yangon Galacticos 71%Kopite 29%
The model gave 71% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Kopite.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 71%
Series resultKopite 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3