PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Me Parbloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Terrorblade
Ksh · 2 games
Me Parb
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
411 picks · 442 bans
Rubick
411 picks · 319 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 825 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 877 bans
Phoenix
361 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
348 picks · 510 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 485 bans
Dragon Knight
301 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 29%
Hero pool strength52% Me Parb
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 85%Me Parb 15%
The model gave 85% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Game 2prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 85%Me Parb 15%
The model gave 85% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 85%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2