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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Mentality Monsterwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
40%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%

Mentality Monster

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
564 picks · 348 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
455 picks · 239 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 371 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
383 picks · 530 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 865 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 804 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Mentality Monster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:23
Yangon Galacticos 54%Mentality Monster 46%
The model gave 54% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Mentality Monster in 32:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendKsh
52% · 204 games40% · 105 games
LunaCije
Luna
Snapfire
SnapfireYoung PH
45% · 218 games48% · 215 games
Timbersawegxrdemxn
Timbersaw
Slardar
SlardarRupido
56% · 265 games49% · 341 game
Storm SpiritGaN-
Storm Spirit
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorPonyo
63% · 106 games48% · 153 games
RubickOneJey
Rubick
Lion
LionDric~
51% · 118 games47% · 97 games
SilencerJuju
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed34:33
Yangon Galacticos 54%Mentality Monster 46%
The model gave 54% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Mentality Monster in 46:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaKsh
54% · 104 games52% · 135 games
Primal Beastegxrdemxn
Primal Beast
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritYoung PH
51% · 356 games44% · 423 games
Storm SpiritGaN-
Storm Spirit
Axe
AxeRupido
54% · 193 games42% · 70 games
AlchemistCije
Alchemist
Snapfire
SnapfireDric~
50% · 202 games48% · 201 game
MuertaOneJey
Muerta
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorPonyo
58% · 77 games49% · 103 games
SilencerJuju
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 58%
Series resultMentality Monster 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2