Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
RFRed flowerloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Red flower
Grimstroke
Yyh_ · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Killa · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
501 picks · 445 bans
Mars
488 picks · 689 bans
Bane
461 picks · 284 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 522 bans
Sand King
410 picks · 563 bans
Storm Spirit
400 picks · 645 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 609 bans
Grimstroke
359 picks · 312 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 53%Red flower 47%
The model gave 53% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Game 2prediction missed
Yangon Galacticos 53%Red flower 47%
The model gave 53% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Red flower.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2