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Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tech Free Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 4 games
0%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%

Tech Free Gaming

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TraVins · 4 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
MamangDaya · 4 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Varizh · 3 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
db- · 3 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Varizh · 3 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
MamangDaya · 3 games
100%
Razor
Razor
TraVins · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
506 picks · 581 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
493 picks · 442 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
466 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
362 picks · 729 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
328 picks · 509 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
327 picks · 751 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
318 picks · 275 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 58%
Hero pool strength61% Tech Free Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:34
Yangon Galacticos 49%Tech Free Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Tech Free Gaming — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 52:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaKsh
49% · 156 games58% · 208 games
GyrocopterTraVins
Gyrocopter
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainYoung PH
37% · 91 game55% · 63 games
Lycandb-
Lycan
Tiny
TinyJG
48% · 487 games54% · 292 games
PangolierMamangDaya
Pangolier
55% · 107 games
Crystal MaidenVarizh
Crystal Maiden
51% · 64 games
Slarkdalul
Slark
Game 2prediction missed8:33
Yangon Galacticos 52%Tech Free Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 26:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawJG
47% · 176 games48% · 237 games
Dragon KnightTraVins
Dragon Knight
Ursa
UrsaKsh
50% · 135 games61% · 16 games
Viperdb-
Viper
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritYoung PH
49% · 258 games45% · 236 games
PangolierMamangDaya
Pangolier
54% · 52 games
Slarkdalul
Slark
57% · 28 games
SilencerVarizh
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 55%
Series resultTech Free Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2