Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
iG Vitalityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
iG Vitality
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Summer · 3 games
Lone Druidoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
Undyingoften banned
Sj · 2 games
Clockwerk
Sj · 1 game
Jakiro
Sj · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Summer · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
ukiyo · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
354 picks · 244 bans
Marci
325 picks · 560 bans
Undying
287 picks · 475 bans
Tusk
272 picks · 178 bans
Pangolier
251 picks · 422 bans
Primal Beast
239 picks · 502 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 285 bans
Crystal Maiden
208 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% iG Vitality
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total54% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:32
Ybb Gaming 54%iG Vitality 46%
The model gave 54% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 47:23.
Game 2prediction missed13:22
Ybb Gaming 54%iG Vitality 46%
The model gave 54% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 24:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 54%
Series resultYbb Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2