BetBoom Streamers Battle · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YBN Team
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
XaKoH · 5 games
Marcioften banned
layme · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
dabex · 3 games
Hoodwink
quiizzzmeow · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
XaKoH · 2 games
Disruptor
dabex · 2 games
Skywrath Mage
dabex · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
650 picks · 422 bans
Tusk
570 picks · 540 bans
Tiny
550 picks · 438 bans
Treant Protector
461 picks · 534 bans
Mirana
386 picks · 386 bans
Snapfire
375 picks · 207 bans
Death Prophet
333 picks · 510 bans
Clockwerk
332 picks · 216 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% YBN Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:23
YBN Team 58%GoodWin Team 42%
The model gave 58% on YBN Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 39:42.
Game 2prediction correct50:41
YBN Team 58%GoodWin Team 42%
The model gave 58% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 50:03.
Game 3prediction missed24:35
YBN Team 58%GoodWin Team 42%
The model gave 58% on YBN Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 45:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 58%
Series resultGoodWin Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3