PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionYRYEGOC REBORNwin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DKDrago kingsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YEGOC REBORN
No games played over 6 months.
Drago kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
414 picks · 318 bans
Hoodwink
410 picks · 442 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 825 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 878 bans
Phoenix
360 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 506 bans
Clockwerk
342 picks · 486 bans
Dragon Knight
302 picks · 534 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% YEGOC REBORN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% YEGOC REBORN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
YEGOC REBORN 50%Drago kings 50%
The model gave 50% on YEGOC REBORN — the game was taken by YEGOC REBORN.
Model check result
Model favoriteYEGOC REBORN · 50%
Series resultYEGOC REBORN 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1