Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Aim Possibleloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 32 games
Tusk
mrls · 31 game
Void Spirit
Mirele · 29 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 26 games
Disruptoroften banned
Xakoda · 26 games
Snapfire
mrls · 25 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 24 games
Muertasignature
bottega · 24 games
Aim Possible
Dazzle
Aidar · 6 games
Magnus
zenica · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
chempik · 4 games
Warlock
Aidar · 4 games
Bane
Garbat1y · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
zenica · 3 games
Doomoften banned
zenica · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
Garbat1y · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
774 picks · 357 bans
Hoodwink
597 picks · 300 bans
Jakiro
564 picks · 456 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 549 bans
Dragon Knight
547 picks · 676 bans
Tusk
516 picks · 308 bans
Mars
493 picks · 751 bans
Centaur Warrunner
483 picks · 548 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total78% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:14
Yellow Submarine 64%Aim Possible 36%
The model gave 64% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 31:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knightbottega
Dazzlezenica
Queen of PainMirele
DisruptorGarbat1y
Centaur WarrunnerInfernal
Hoodwinkprblms
PugnaHtrd
Game 2prediction correct26:6
Yellow Submarine 64%Aim Possible 36%
The model gave 64% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 31:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopterbottega
Axezenica
Queen of PainMirele
Shadow DemonGarbat1y
Centaur WarrunnerInfernal
WarlockHtrd
Clockwerkprblms
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 78%
Series resultYellow Submarine 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2