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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 1:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Monteloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 32 games
63%
Techies
Techies
rue · 28 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 22 games
45%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
52%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 20 games
35%
Mars
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 18 games
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 18 games
44%

Monte

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 12 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 10 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 9 games
22%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 9 games
44%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moonlight · 8 games
13%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Crystallize · 8 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 8 games
38%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 8 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 214 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 629 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
418 picks · 734 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
397 picks · 158 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
394 picks · 552 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
386 picks · 328 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 742 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
340 picks · 550 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 28%
Hero pool strength59% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:21
Yellow Submarine 67%Monte 33%
The model gave 67% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 33:19.
Game 2prediction missed35:22
Yellow Submarine 67%Monte 33%
The model gave 67% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Monte in 47:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 67%
Accuracy by game1 of 2