The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PPRDXloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Batrideroften banned
mrls · 9 games
Tinyoften banned
re1bl · 9 games
Muertasignature
mrls · 8 games
Dark Willowsignature
mrls · 6 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
Lion
mrls · 6 games
Timbersaw
ififall · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
Htrd · 5 games
PRDX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
479 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
468 picks · 537 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 647 bans
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 450 bans
Ancient Apparition
296 picks · 669 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 222 bans
Windranger
281 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% PRDX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yellow Submarine 80%PRDX 20%
The model gave 80% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 80%
Series resultYellow Submarine 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1