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FISSURE Universe: Episode 7 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Yandexloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 26 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 25 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
sayuw · 23 games
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
mrls · 22 games
59%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 21 game
43%
Tusk
Tusk
mrls · 21 game
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Xakoda · 20 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mirele · 20 games
65%

Team Yandex

Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 12 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 10 games
40%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TA2000 · 9 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
TA2000 · 8 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
prblms · 7 games
29%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Noticed · 7 games
86%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
prblms · 7 games
43%
Bane
Bane
prblms · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
483 picks · 250 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
467 picks · 457 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
357 picks · 962 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
326 picks · 371 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
305 picks · 150 bans
53%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
292 picks · 477 bans
57%
Batrider
Batrider
291 picks · 630 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
289 picks · 223 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:38
Yellow Submarine 53%Team Yandex 47%
The model gave 53% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 47:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracMirele
54% · 116 games45% · 192 games
Shadow FiendWatson
Shadow Fiend
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinbottega
57% · 179 games43% · 104 games
Void SpiritChira JUNIOR
Void Spirit
Mars
Marslaise
50% · 168 games43% · 86 games
AxeNoticed
Axe
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksayuw
47% · 198 games50% · 140 games
SilencerMalady
Silencer
Naga Siren
Naga SirenRodjER
61% · 138 games48% · 277 games
Snapfireprblms
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct32:21
Yellow Submarine 50%Team Yandex 50%
The model gave 50% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 37:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebackbottega
55% · 224 games56% · 45 games
PudgeWatson
Pudge
Abaddon
Abaddonlaise
50% · 129 games49% · 403 games
BeastmasterNoticed
Beastmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMirele
45% · 255 games58% · 63 games
Death ProphetChira JUNIOR
Death Prophet
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksayuw
43% · 205 games47% · 312 games
SnapfireMalady
Snapfire
Disruptor
DisruptorRodjER
41% · 149 games59% · 139 games
Alchemistprblms
Alchemist
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2