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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 0:1
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
cybercatswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 5 games
40%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 5 games
60%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 5 games
40%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
80%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dominic · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 4 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 4 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 3 games
67%

cybercats

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Fezor · 5 games
60%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 3 games
100%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Fezor · 3 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
Fezor · 3 games
67%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
0%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
50%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Shigetsu · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
446 picks · 267 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
376 picks · 497 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
366 picks · 506 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
352 picks · 482 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
282 picks · 495 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
277 picks · 422 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
262 picks · 182 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
255 picks · 303 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:41
YNT 46%cybercats 54%
The model gave 54% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 42:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyDarkLord^
51% · 165 games57% · 62 games
Slardarspirit
Slardar
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
49% · 109 games45% · 54 games
Chaos KnightShigetsu
Chaos Knight
Death Prophet
Death ProphetDominic
51% · 161 game46% · 195 games
Sand KingUSHUSHUSH
Sand King
Hoodwink
HoodwinkdSa
48% · 139 games53% · 297 games
LinaFezor
Lina
Clockwerk
Clockwerkjesv
51% · 107 games48% · 73 games
UndyingHduo
Undying
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 59%
Series resultcybercats 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1