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Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 28 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
53%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
72%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 14 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Hduo · 13 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 13 games
38%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 12 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Egor · 12 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
698 picks · 511 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
504 picks · 984 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
419 picks · 531 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
390 picks · 711 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
377 picks · 194 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
332 picks · 329 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
301 picks · 320 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
291 picks · 601 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 65%
Hero pool strength53% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total62% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:11
YNT 38%cybercats 62%
The model gave 62% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 30:03.
Game 2prediction correct11:28
YNT 38%cybercats 62%
The model gave 62% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 32:19.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 62%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2