?
arrow_backBack to match
1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Into The Breachloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
jesv · 7 games
43%

Into The Breach

Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 13 games
85%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Ari · 13 games
77%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Supream^ · 11 games
82%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 9 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 9 games
44%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Otaker · 9 games
78%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xibbe · 7 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
730 picks · 550 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
518 picks · 1032 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
450 picks · 578 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
428 picks · 767 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
367 picks · 195 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
358 picks · 387 bans
56%
Zeus
Zeus
320 picks · 364 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
315 picks · 621 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 75%
Hero pool strength62% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:46
YNT 26%Into The Breach 74%
The model gave 74% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 46:34.
Game 2prediction correct23:0
YNT 26%Into The Breach 74%
The model gave 74% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 18:14.
Game 3prediction missed
YNT 26%Into The Breach 74%
The model gave 74% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by YNT.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 74%
Series resultYNT 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 3