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Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
sQreen's Squadloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%

sQreen's Squad

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
sQreen · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
toshiyb · 3 games
67%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Actor · 3 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 2 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Actor · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Wuiter · 2 games
50%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
sQreen · 2 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
sQreen · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 435 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
456 picks · 685 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
428 picks · 536 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
407 picks · 290 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 592 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
348 picks · 569 bans
55%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knight
333 picks · 643 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 623 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% sQreen's Squad
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:22
YNT 58%sQreen's Squad 42%
The model gave 58% on YNT — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 22:35.
Game 2prediction missed33:38
YNT 58%sQreen's Squad 42%
The model gave 58% on YNT — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 47:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 58%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2