?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 1:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Water Rune Enjoyerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

No games played over 6 months.

Water Rune Enjoyers

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 15 games
47%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mary_y · 12 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
BliNcc · 9 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
y0nd · 9 games
44%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Nukkumatti · 9 games
33%
Razor
Razoroften banned
BliNcc · 9 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
y0nd · 9 games
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Mary_y · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
383 picks · 370 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
338 picks · 348 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
307 picks · 222 bans
58%
Mirana
Mirana
275 picks · 277 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
201 picks · 148 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
197 picks · 108 bans
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
191 picks · 251 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
185 picks · 510 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% YNT
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
YNT 59%Water Rune Enjoyers 41%
The model gave 59% on YNT — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers.
Game 2prediction correct
YNT 59%Water Rune Enjoyers 41%
The model gave 59% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Game 3prediction missed
YNT 59%Water Rune Enjoyers 41%
The model gave 59% on YNT — the game was taken by Water Rune Enjoyers.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 59%
Series resultWater Rune Enjoyers 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3