Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:0
T3Team 3xceptionalloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yoru Ryodan
Lion
Ezekiel · 3 games
Clockwerk
Ezekiel · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Grimstroke
Ezekiel · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Iooften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Team 3xceptional
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 542 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 223 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 670 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 456 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 687 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 241 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Team 3xceptional
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Yoru Ryodan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct51:25
Yoru Ryodan 63%Team 3xceptional 37%
The model gave 63% on Yoru Ryodan — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 26:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteYoru Ryodan · 63%
Series resultYoru Ryodan 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1