Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Respectloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EXTREMUMwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Respect
No games played over 6 months.
EXTREMUM
Void Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 4 games
Bounty Hunter
Chuvash · 3 games
Shadow Shaman
Chuvash · 3 games
Alchemist
Nefrit · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Shachlo · 2 games
Witch Doctor
G · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Nefrit · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
71 picks · 153 bans
Puck
66 picks · 171 bans
Earth Spirit
58 picks · 52 bans
Void Spirit
52 picks · 103 bans
Rubick
48 picks · 26 bans
Monkey King
46 picks · 104 bans
Undying
46 picks · 70 bans
Phoenix
45 picks · 59 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% EXTREMUM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% EXTREMUM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteEXTREMUM · 66%
Series resultEXTREMUM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect