European Pro League Season 38 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Balu Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Hoodwink
dEsire · 34 games
Jakirosignature
MoOz · 33 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Nefrit · 30 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 29 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Nefrit · 27 games
Phoenixsignature
MoOz · 26 games
Ringmaster
MoOz · 26 games
Tiny
Worick · 26 games
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
612 picks · 383 bans
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
498 picks · 586 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 397 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 577 bans
Puck
355 picks · 954 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 888 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 92%Balu Team 8%
The model gave 92% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 92%Balu Team 8%
The model gave 92% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 92%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2