?
arrow_backBack to match
CIS Battle 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacityloss 1:2
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ban9PivoSamogonwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Puck
Pucksignature
Stojkov · 32 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 28 games
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 28 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
LeBronDota · 25 games
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
yamich · 24 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Nande · 24 games
58%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Pablo · 23 games
57%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Nande · 22 games
32%

Ban9PivoSamogon

Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
ряф^^ · 3 games
67%
Pudge
Pudge
not me · 3 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
ififall · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
50%
Pugna
Pugna
VaniLLl · 2 games
100%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
zvёzd · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
ififall · 1 game
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
zvёzd · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
506 picks · 543 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
389 picks · 231 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
359 picks · 412 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
333 picks · 874 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
326 picks · 916 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
320 picks · 478 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
315 picks · 292 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
293 picks · 631 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 46%
Hero pool strength50% Ban9PivoSamogon
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:36
Zero Tenacity 61%Ban9PivoSamogon 39%
The model gave 61% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 42:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckMirage
53% · 243 games43% · 272 games
Terrorbladezvёzd
Terrorblade
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageNande
43% · 3 games47% · 253 games
Dawnbreakerififall
Dawnbreaker
Bristleback
BristlebackNefrit
56% · 233 games51% · 305 games
Ember Spiritряф^^
Ember Spirit
Pugna
PugnaLeBronDota
58% · 174 games51% · 10 games
Skywrath Magenot me
Skywrath Mage
Tusk
Tuskyamich
49% · 282 games43% · 95 games
DisruptorVaniLLl
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed18:29
Zero Tenacity 59%Ban9PivoSamogon 41%
The model gave 59% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Ban9PivoSamogon in 34:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanNefrit
56% · 73 games54% · 113 games
Nature's Prophetряф^^
Nature's Prophet
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
43% · 173 games53% · 76 games
Ursazvёzd
Ursa
Razor
RazorNande
53% · 53 games46% · 135 games
Abaddonififall
Abaddon
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSe
51% · 196 games54% · 64 games
SilencerVaniLLl
Silencer
Rubick
Rubickyamich
46% · 103 games48% · 210 games
Tusknot me
Tusk
Game 3prediction missed13:18
Zero Tenacity 61%Ban9PivoSamogon 39%
The model gave 61% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Ban9PivoSamogon in 28:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageNande
34% · 12 games44% · 95 games
Hoodwinkzvёzd
Hoodwink
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
45% · 189 games46% · 110 games
Abaddonififall
Abaddon
Tidehunter
TidehunterNefrit
55% · 98 games46% · 67 games
Rubickряф^^
Rubick
Dark Willow
Dark Willowyamich
50% · 364 games50% · 302 games
Batridernot me
Batrider
Chen
ChenSe
65% · 114 games50% · 203 games
ClockwerkVaniLLl
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 68%
Series resultBan9PivoSamogon 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3