BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDevil_Kingsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Hoodwink
dEsire · 36 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 31 game
Ringmaster
MoOz · 29 games
Techiessignature
dEsire · 23 games
Tinysignature
nesfeer · 23 games
Banesignature
MoOz · 22 games
Rubick
dEsire · 21 game
Tusksignature
dEsire · 21 game
Devil_Kings
Axeoften banned
azimoff · 1 game
Largooften banned
azimoff · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Dinozavrik · 1 game
Windranger
Dinozavrik · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
469 picks · 307 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 497 bans
Bane
302 picks · 422 bans
Clockwerk
302 picks · 360 bans
Mirana
293 picks · 110 bans
Shadow Fiend
289 picks · 611 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 120 bans
Centaur Warrunner
273 picks · 290 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total83% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 83%Devil_Kings 17%
The model gave 83% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct40:21
Zero Tenacity 83%Devil_Kings 17%
The model gave 83% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 32:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 83%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2