FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GTGG teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Dark Willow
jAMES · 13 games
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 11 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
MikSa` · 8 games
Sand Kingoften banned
MikSa` · 8 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Stojkov · 8 games
Tuskoften banned
LeBronDota · 8 games
Lion
Thiolicor · 7 games
GG team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
492 picks · 678 bans
Clockwerk
418 picks · 483 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 527 bans
Dark Willow
351 picks · 181 bans
Luna
347 picks · 454 bans
Enchantress
307 picks · 599 bans
Batrider
304 picks · 318 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 67%GG team 33%
The model gave 67% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 67%
Series resultZero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1