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CCT Season 2 Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Puck
Puckoften banned
Mirage · 38 games
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
yamich · 29 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 28 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Pablo · 26 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Nande · 25 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 24 games
58%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 24 games
46%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Se · 23 games
39%

Natus Vincere Junior

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Riddys · 26 games
69%
Tiny
Tiny
Niku · 18 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 15 games
73%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Zayac · 13 games
85%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
pma · 11 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 11 games
45%
Puck
Pucksignature
Niku · 11 games
73%
Doom
Doomsignature
gotthejuice · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
437 picks · 411 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
423 picks · 214 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
347 picks · 919 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
326 picks · 367 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
290 picks · 143 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
287 picks · 224 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
279 picks · 670 bans
52%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
278 picks · 850 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total66% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:17
Zero Tenacity 58%Natus Vincere Junior 42%
The model gave 58% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 35:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Ranger423
57% · 35 games57% · 107 games
Ursarubikon155
Ursa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMirage
51% · 264 games49% · 80 games
Void Spiritgbc
Void Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordNefrit
42% · 59 games53% · 44 games
Brewmasterkrol9ash
Brewmaster
Rubick
RubickJeezy
46% · 94 games50% · 131 game
HoodwinkGothic-
Hoodwink
Marci
MarciSe
48% · 102 games51% · 192 games
JakiroHyugadoto
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct39:6
Zero Tenacity 58%Natus Vincere Junior 42%
The model gave 58% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 28:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmother423
55% · 36 games51% · 126 games
Ursarubikon155
Ursa
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirage
51% · 320 games42% · 68 games
Underlordkrol9ash
Underlord
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNefrit
51% · 189 games49% · 415 games
Tinygbc
Tiny
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonJeezy
50% · 157 games46% · 144 games
SnapfireGothic-
Snapfire
Jakiro
JakiroSe
51% · 219 games54% · 168 games
DisruptorHyugadoto
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 66%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2