ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
reshufleloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Gyrocoptersignature
DaaD- · 19 games
Dark Willow
jAMES · 17 games
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 15 games
Lich
LeBronDota · 14 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
MikSa` · 13 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nefrit · 13 games
Lion
Pablo · 12 games
Ogre Magi
LeBronDota · 12 games
reshufle
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
426 picks · 346 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 540 bans
Batrider
358 picks · 450 bans
Lion
357 picks · 189 bans
Tusk
356 picks · 376 bans
Pangolier
350 picks · 582 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 817 bans
Gyrocopter
337 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 77%reshufle 23%
The model gave 77% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 77%
Series resultZero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1