EPL Masters I · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Rune Eaters Ariseloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 37 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 30 games
Phoenixsignature
MoOz · 28 games
Ringmaster
dEsire · 27 games
Tinyoften banned
Kami · 22 games
Largosignature
Nefrit · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 19 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Nefrit · 19 games
Rune Eaters Arise
Hoodwink
waveformn · 4 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
Ankou · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
Ethereal · 2 games
Marcioften banned
waveformn · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
yowaai · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
493 picks · 355 bans
Rubick
380 picks · 224 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 640 bans
Tiny
336 picks · 341 bans
Windranger
316 picks · 228 bans
Bane
304 picks · 294 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 396 bans
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 322 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Rune Eaters Arise
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 71%Rune Eaters Arise 29%
The model gave 71% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 71%Rune Eaters Arise 29%
The model gave 71% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 71%
Series resultZero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2