The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacityloss 1:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Bald Rebornwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 36 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 34 games
Jakirosignature
MoOz · 32 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Nefrit · 31 game
Ringmaster
dEsire · 28 games
Phoenixsignature
MoOz · 27 games
Centaur Warrunner
Nefrit · 26 games
Tiny
Worick · 26 games
Team Bald Reborn
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shad · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 2 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
bengan · 2 games
Bane
bengan · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
Xibbe · 1 game
Hoodwink
mrls · 1 game
Lion
mrls · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
626 picks · 413 bans
Rubick
536 picks · 298 bans
Phoenix
484 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
429 picks · 618 bans
Puck
351 picks · 995 bans
Tusk
345 picks · 292 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 524 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Team Bald Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:33
Zero Tenacity 60%Team Bald Reborn 40%
The model gave 60% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 37:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendSmiling Knight
LycanXibbe
InvokerWorick
ViperShad
PangolierMikSa`
Queen of PainSancity
TechiesdEsire
Hoodwinkmrls
PhoenixMoOz
Clockwerkbengan
Game 2prediction correct42:21
Zero Tenacity 61%Team Bald Reborn 39%
The model gave 61% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 1:03:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MuertaSmiling Knight
Drow RangerShad
Ember SpiritWorick
UnderlordXibbe
UndyingMikSa`
Monkey KingSancity
HoodwinkdEsire
Rubickmrls
BaneMoOz
Clockwerkbengan
Game 3prediction missed0:150
Zero Tenacity 60%Team Bald Reborn 40%
The model gave 60% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 59:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
RingmasterMoOz
Shadow FiendShad
KezSmiling Knight
BeastmasterXibbe
Storm SpiritWorick
Silencerbengan
SnapfireMikSa`
Ember SpiritSancity
ClockwerkdEsire
Keeper of the Lightmrls
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 68%
Series resultTeam Bald Reborn 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3