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European Pro League Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:1
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TT Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 17 games
59%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 15 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 14 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
MikSa` · 12 games
33%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
LeBronDota · 12 games
58%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nefrit · 11 games
64%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Stojkov · 10 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Thiolicor · 10 games
50%

TT Team

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
474 picks · 591 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
450 picks · 528 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
388 picks · 572 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
373 picks · 184 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
367 picks · 407 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
362 picks · 270 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
333 picks · 706 bans
53%
Invoker
Invoker
331 picks · 921 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:27
Zero Tenacity 73%TT Team 27%
The model gave 73% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by TT Team in 28:40.
Game 2prediction correct36:28
Zero Tenacity 73%TT Team 27%
The model gave 73% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 43:11.
Game 3prediction correct36:9
Zero Tenacity 73%TT Team 27%
The model gave 73% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 29:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 73%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3