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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wolf Warriorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 30 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 29 games
31%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Retsu · 27 games
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Nefrit · 25 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 24 games
29%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Retsu · 24 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 24 games
38%
Lich
Lich
LeBronDota · 23 games
48%

Wolf Warriors

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
470 picks · 443 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 497 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 201 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
332 picks · 582 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 401 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 606 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
276 picks · 185 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
265 picks · 74 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:20
Zero Tenacity 88%Wolf Warriors 12%
The model gave 88% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 30:59.
Game 2prediction correct44:17
Zero Tenacity 88%Wolf Warriors 12%
The model gave 88% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 26:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 88%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2