Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionZTZhou Teamwin 3:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 3:2
HTHao Teamloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zhou Team
No games played over 6 months.
Hao Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
534 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
476 picks · 576 bans
Rubick
427 picks · 228 bans
Tiny
420 picks · 355 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 480 bans
Jakiro
338 picks · 231 bans
Puck
324 picks · 847 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 822 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Zhou Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Hao Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Zhou Team 40%Hao Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Zhou Team 40%Hao Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Zhou Team 40%Hao Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 4prediction correct
Zhou Team 40%Hao Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 5prediction missed
Zhou Team 40%Hao Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteHao Team · 60%
Series resultZhou Team 3:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5