ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 16:12series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 16:12
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · loss 12:16The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient100 Thieves ban
50%63%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsedge Eternal Fire +13%Eternal Fire · 15 maps
Dust2possible decider
71%72%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsnearly even -1%Eternal Fire · 14 maps
MirageEternal Fire ban
67%56%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge 100 Thieves +11%Eternal Fire · 14 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
58%57%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsnearly even +1%Eternal Fire · 10 maps
Anubis100 Thieves ban
50%58%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge Eternal Fire +8%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
Cache100 Thieves ban
60%58%
100 Thieves · 1 mapnearly even +2%Eternal Fire · 15 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
50%50%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban100 Thieves remove Cache
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. Ban100 Thieves remove Ancient
4. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
6. BanEternal Fire remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (71% / 72%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed16:12
100 Thieves 42%Eternal Fire 58%
The model gave 58% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 51%
Series result100 Thieves 16:12
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1