FiRe Last Chance 2026 · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
100 Thieves#35 in the worldseries probability now
96%4%
was 77% pre-match
Isurus#236 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2100 Thieves pick
85%53%
100 Thieves · 16 mapsedge 100 Thieves +32%Isurus · 11 maps
InfernoIsurus pick
50%40%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge 100 Thieves +10%Isurus · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
56%33%
100 Thieves · 12 mapsedge 100 Thieves +23%Isurus · 11 maps
Nuke100 Thieves ban
57%44%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsedge 100 Thieves +13%Isurus · 5 maps
Cache100 Thieves ban
57%46%
100 Thieves · 3 mapsedge 100 Thieves +11%Isurus · 9 maps
MirageIsurus ban
57%33%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsedge 100 Thieves +24%Isurus · 2 maps
AnubisIsurus ban
55%50%
100 Thieves · 7 mapsedge 100 Thieves +5%Isurus · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban100 Thieves remove Cache
2. BanIsurus remove Anubis
3. Pick100 Thieves take Dust2
4. PickIsurus take Inferno
5. BanIsurus remove Mirage
6. Ban100 Thieves remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (56% / 33%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Nukefinished · Isurus pick13:1
100 Thieves won — 100%
Dust2not played · 100 Thieves pick— : —
100 Thieves 85%Isurus 15%
Historical winrate over 3 months: 100 Thieves 85% (16 maps) vs 53% (11 maps) for Isurus.
Ancientnot played · decider— : —
100 Thieves 72%Isurus 28%
Historical winrate over 3 months: 100 Thieves 56% (12 maps) vs 33% (11 maps) for Isurus.