CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#37 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
71%71%
100 Thieves · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Lavked · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%63%
100 Thieves · 3 mapsedge Lavked +6%Lavked · 12 maps
Dust2100 Thieves ban
60%44%
100 Thieves · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +16%Lavked · 12 maps
Inferno100 Thieves pick
50%33%
100 Thieves · 4 mapsedge 100 Thieves +17%Lavked · 8 maps
Ancient100 Thieves ban
57%73%
100 Thieves · 3 mapsedge Lavked +16%Lavked · 7 maps
AnubisLavked ban
60%40%
100 Thieves · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +20%Lavked · 1 map
OverpassLavked ban
60%60%
100 Thieves · 1 mapnearly even +0%Lavked · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban100 Thieves remove Dust2
2. BanLavked remove Anubis
3. Pick100 Thieves take Inferno
4. PickLavked take Mirage
5. BanLavked remove Overpass
6. Ban100 Thieves remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (57% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
100 Thieves 47%Lavked 53%
The model gave 53% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Ancientprediction correct17:19
100 Thieves 31%Lavked 69%
The model gave 69% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 51%
Series resultLavked 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2