PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#38 in the world · win 2:0series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8#15 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
61%64%
1win · 24 mapsnearly even -3%B8 · 7 maps
Ancient1win ban
62%57%
1win · 17 mapsedge 1win +5%B8 · 10 maps
MirageB8 ban
56%31%
1win · 12 mapsedge 1win +25%B8 · 9 maps
Anubis1win ban
38%50%
1win · 12 mapsedge B8 +12%B8 · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
62%67%
1win · 9 mapsedge B8 +5%B8 · 2 maps
InfernoB8 ban
67%56%
1win · 5 mapsedge 1win +11%B8 · 5 maps
DefaultB8 pick
57%50%
1win · 3 mapsedge 1win +7%B8 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Anubis
2. BanB8 remove Inferno
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickB8 take Default
5. BanB8 remove Mirage
6. Ban1win remove Ancient
DeciderCache (62% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
1win 50%B8 50%
The model gave 50% on B8 — the map was taken by 1win.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
1win 72%B8 28%
The model gave 72% on 1win — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 70%
Series result1win 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2