PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
1win#38 in the world · win 13:11series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 13:11
Bushido Wildcats#73 in the world · loss 11:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
59%71%
1win · 18 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +12%Bushido Wildcats · 30 maps
Mirage1win ban
53%54%
1win · 11 mapsnearly even -1%Bushido Wildcats · 22 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%58%
1win · 0 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +8%Bushido Wildcats · 20 maps
Anubis1win ban
40%64%
1win · 11 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +24%Bushido Wildcats · 7 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
60%40%
1win · 16 mapsedge 1win +20%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
CacheBushido Wildcats ban
58%58%
1win · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 8 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
63%42%
1win · 4 mapsedge 1win +21%Bushido Wildcats · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. Ban1win remove Anubis
4. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
5. Ban1win remove Mirage
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (59% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
1win 38%Bushido Wildcats 62%
The model gave 62% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 61%
Series result1win 13:11
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1