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CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
63%77%
1win · 4 mapsedge INOX Division +14%INOX Division · 18 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%65%
1win · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +15%INOX Division · 19 maps
Overpasspossible decider
38%56%
1win · 4 mapsedge INOX Division +18%INOX Division · 12 maps
InfernoINOX Division pick
60%61%
1win · 1 mapnearly even -1%INOX Division · 14 maps
Ancient1win ban
50%58%
1win · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +8%INOX Division · 8 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
57%40%
1win · 3 mapsedge 1win +17%INOX Division · 6 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
36%50%
1win · 7 mapsedge INOX Division +14%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickINOX Division take Inferno
5. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
6. Ban1win remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (38% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed16:12
1win 46%INOX Division 54%
The model gave 54% on INOX Division — the map was taken by 1win.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
1win 45%INOX Division 55%
The model gave 55% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Dust2prediction missed16:14
1win 33%INOX Division 67%
The model gave 67% on INOX Division — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 58%
Series result1win 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3