NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#33 in the world · win 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
64%64%
1win · 10 mapsnearly even +0%INOX Division · 18 maps
InfernoINOX Division pick
67%64%
1win · 2 mapsnearly even +3%INOX Division · 21 map
Ancientpossible decider
58%61%
1win · 8 mapsnearly even -3%INOX Division · 14 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%71%
1win · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +21%INOX Division · 20 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
40%38%
1win · 6 mapsnearly even +2%INOX Division · 9 maps
Overpass1win ban
33%50%
1win · 5 mapsedge INOX Division +17%INOX Division · 10 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
41%50%
1win · 13 mapsedge INOX Division +9%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickINOX Division take Inferno
5. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
6. Ban1win remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (58% / 61%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
1win 50%INOX Division 50%
The model gave 50% on INOX Division — the map was taken by 1win.
Anubisprediction missed16:19
1win 55%INOX Division 45%
The model gave 55% on 1win — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Ancientprediction missed13:3
1win 47%INOX Division 53%
The model gave 53% on INOX Division — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 64%
Series result1win 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3